Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.000808 0.000866 0.000927 0.000996 0.001073 0.001155 0.001250
2025-12-28 0.000690 0.000763 0.000845 0.000941 0.001054 0.001181 0.001338
2026-01-04 0.000618 0.000700 0.000792 0.000907 0.001045 0.001208 0.001418
2026-01-11 0.000575 0.000662 0.000765 0.000894 0.001056 0.001255 0.001521
2026-01-18 0.000543 0.000636 0.000746 0.000890 0.001074 0.001307 0.001632
2026-01-25 0.000586 0.000701 0.000843 0.001034 0.001289 0.001629 0.002129
2026-02-01 0.000545 0.000659 0.000802 0.000997 0.001263 0.001626 0.002177
2026-02-08 0.000513 0.000627 0.000770 0.000970 0.001248 0.001636 0.002241
2026-02-15 0.000491 0.000605 0.000751 0.000958 0.001252 0.001672 0.002346
2026-02-22 0.000466 0.000578 0.000725 0.000935 0.001238 0.001679 0.002406
2026-03-01 0.000439 0.000549 0.000693 0.000901 0.001207 0.001658 0.002419
2026-03-08 0.000422 0.000531 0.000676 0.000888 0.001204 0.001680 0.002503
2026-03-15 0.000401 0.000509 0.000653 0.000869 0.001197 0.001702 0.002603
2026-03-22 0.000372 0.000475 0.000614 0.000824 0.001146 0.001652 0.002576
2026-03-29 0.000350 0.000450 0.000587 0.000795 0.001120 0.001639 0.002611
2026-04-05 0.000337 0.000436 0.000573 0.000785 0.001121 0.001671 0.002733
2026-04-12 0.000326 0.000425 0.000564 0.000781 0.001132 0.001720 0.002894
2026-04-19 0.000351 0.000466 0.000632 0.000901 0.001356 0.002167 0.003936
2026-04-26 0.000333 0.000444 0.000606 0.000870 0.001323 0.002140 0.003966
2026-05-03 0.000319 0.000427 0.000586 0.000848 0.001302 0.002136 0.004047
2026-05-10 0.000308 0.000416 0.000574 0.000838 0.001302 0.002173 0.004229
2026-05-17 0.000296 0.000401 0.000557 0.000818 0.001284 0.002171 0.004318
2026-05-24 0.000283 0.000384 0.000535 0.000790 0.001249 0.002132 0.004308